An industry group projected the 30-yr fixed mortgage rate would hold in the low-6% range through the rest of 2026 nationally for buyers.
That outlook suggested borrowing costs would stay elevated, continuing to compress affordability for US households shopping the new-home market in the balance of 2026.
Entry-level buyers faced the strongest pressure, with the projected rate path leaving less room for affordability relief as the year moved forward.
The projection pointed to continued affordability pressure rather than meaningful easing, reinforcing that elevated mortgage rates still shaped buyer activity in this cycle.
For the rest of 2026, the central takeaway was stability in rates, but not relief, especially for buyers trying to enter the market.

